Marcel Plichta @plichta_marcel
Self-Funded PhD Candidate at the University of St Andrews. Former DoD analyst. @CglgSta Fellow. Words in FP, the Telegraph & others. Joined August 2021-
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Actions like this will only have a limited impact. Ukraine has the initiative in the drone campaign and picks the targets. Unless they can put a cage around the entire country, OWA attacks will keep getting through.
Actions like this will only have a limited impact. Ukraine has the initiative in the drone campaign and picks the targets. Unless they can put a cage around the entire country, OWA attacks will keep getting through.
1/ Oil facilities are a "goldilocks" target for an OWA drone campaign. They are vulnerable, strategically important, and impossible for Russia to ignore.
1/ Oil facilities are a "goldilocks" target for an OWA drone campaign. They are vulnerable, strategically important, and impossible for Russia to ignore.
Russian consumers are starting to feel the pinch after Ukraine's strikes:
Russian consumers are starting to feel the pinch after Ukraine's strikes:
Commentators and the international press have started to forget about Ukraine's OWA drone campaign, but Ukraine hasn't 👇
Commentators and the international press have started to forget about Ukraine's OWA drone campaign, but Ukraine hasn't 👇
Many months ago, I told the Telegraph's Ukraine: The Latest podcast that we should expect a growth in the size and scale attacks, but not necessary immediately or evenly. I think the recent jump in attacks have borne that out. telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/3…
Shaheds aren't the only problematic kind of OWA drone 👇
Shaheds aren't the only problematic kind of OWA drone 👇
This cannot be emphasized enough: "the threat [the Houthis] fear most—and thus the ultimate form of exploitable leverage and deterrence—is the risk of the frontline military balance turning against [them]."
MoD highlighting some of the impacts of OWA drone strikes on airbases, independent of the physical damage to the site. A sustained Ukrainian OWA campaign will only complicate things for Russia's military, defense industry, and economy.
MoD highlighting some of the impacts of OWA drone strikes on airbases, independent of the physical damage to the site. A sustained Ukrainian OWA campaign will only complicate things for Russia's military, defense industry, and economy.
Barrick Gold is the single largest taxpayer to Mali’s junta This same antidemocratic regime pays CAD$15 million each month for #Russian mercenary support (4/6)
Russian Espionage in Poland: An Intelligence Overview #Intelligence #Espionage #Poland #Russia #RussianSpies #Security #Ukraine #CounterEspionage #Geopolitics Click on the link to find out more! greydynamics.com/russian-espion…
"The new tranche includes: $50 million for short-range air defence systems $30 million for drones; $15 million for high priority equipment such as combat helmets, rigid hull inflatable boats, boots, fire masks and generators."
"The new tranche includes: $50 million for short-range air defence systems $30 million for drones; $15 million for high priority equipment such as combat helmets, rigid hull inflatable boats, boots, fire masks and generators."
The claim is that Wagner has been effectively splintered into "at least four groups" including the following: 1) A group of ex-Wagner under the helm of the Rosgvardia 2) Some under the Russian Defence Ministry 3) Some under 'Russian intelligence services' 4) 'Redut'
Damage from a Ukrainian strike on Russia’s Kushchyovskaya air base is visible in new high resolution satellite imagery. This site is more than 200 kilometers from the front line in Ukraine.
As with all Wagner news, wait until there's an official statement or photos. 👇
As with all Wagner news, wait until there's an official statement or photos. 👇
Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien
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H I Sutton @CovertShores
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| osint_east | @osint_east
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Def Mon @DefMon3
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Rob Lee @RALee85
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| osint_east | @osint_east
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Benjamin Tallis 🇺�.. @bctallis
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BloodGoldReport @BloodGoldReport
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Nos Gbadamosi @nosmotG
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Brady Africk @bradyafr
48K Followers 1K Following Maps and satellite imagery 🛰🌻🔭 | @AEIfdp media relations | Tweets and opinions are my own
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د. مهند سلوم @MuhanadSeloom
15K Followers 825 Following Asst Professor @dohainstitute in Critical Security Studies | Intelligence and National Security | Researcher @ArabCenter_ar | Hon. Research Fellow @UniofExeter
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560 Followers 643 Following Security and Defense Reporter @Newsweek Slide into my DMs: [email protected] Celery hater and sangría enthusiast
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Very grateful to @EliotACohen - former Counselor of the Department of State, now Professor at @JohnsHopkins and Strategy Chair at @CSIS - for joining @Telegraph's 'Ukraine: The Latest' podcast again today. Fascinating insights from a long-term listener. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ukr…
@plichta_marcel @natkpowell If you're thinking of micro-level evidence, I can't think of anything off the top of my head that has, say, ACLED events on the left hand side of the regression and land tenure variables on the right hand side.
Off-topic for today, but does African history/polisci twitter have good reading suggestions on changing land-tenure in the Sahel and West Africa and its relationship to conflict? My impression is that this does not get talked about enough in the circles I know.
Top trolling from Ukraine's Minister of Strategic Industries
Whoever wins the war in Sudan, Russia will come out on top with their dual investment with a little help from the UAE on both sides of the divide A coherent US Africa policy is meanwhile nowhere to be found middleeastmonitor.com/20240430-sudan…
I recommend checking out this ICCT event with @ColinPClarke, @tanya_mehra1, and @CyprienFluzin👇
📅 Sign up for the May 9th ICCT Live Briefing on "Administrative Measures, Human Rights, and Democracy in Turbulent Times". @CyprienFluzin, @ColinPClarke & @tanya_mehra1 will discuss renewed caution in using #AdministrativeMeasures as #CT strategy ➡️buff.ly/3Jy8nz2
I initially believed I had to research and write in my free time. I no longer work outside of my work week unless I have a pressing deadline.
You never forget the first time you learn universities’ overhead rates on external grants.
Actually, a number of comedies make homeless jokes. youtube.com/shorts/mGAjuN5…
Jerry Seinfeld says he wouldn’t be able to do many jokes from ‘SEINFELD’ in today’s world. “[One would be] Kramer decides to start a business of having homeless people pull rickshaws because, as he says, ‘They’re outside anyway.’ Do you think I could get that episode on the air…
Ukraine’s efforts to slow down the increasing glide-bomb threat is a key element in trying to limit Russian air strikes and their impact on the front line. Taking them out at source is their best option right now. This is a significant moment in the fight for air control.
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 30 April 2024. Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: ow.ly/enhY50Rqov8 #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦
Mali kills a high-ranking IS commander w/ a US bounty involved in the 2017 Tongo Tongo attack. Good for CT, but these high-value killings hardly slow the groups' inertia from a counterinsurgency aspect. The French emphasized this in their strategy and never solved the insurgency.
L'Etat Major Général des Armées informe l'opinion nationale et internationale que ce dimanche 28 Avril 2024, les FAMa ont neutralisé un important chef terroriste de nationalité étrangère au cours d’une opération de grande envergure dans le LIPTAKO (secteur de INDELIMANE).
southpark is in its 276th season
Jerry Seinfeld says TV comedy is being hurt by "the extreme left and P.C. crap, and people worrying so much about offending other people." “It used to be, you would go home at the end of the day, most people would go, ‘Oh, “Cheers” is on. Oh, “MASH” is on. Oh, “Mary Tyler Moore”…
What would happen if the United States started unilaterally striking the cartels in Mexico? Jim Marckwardt and I wrote this short story to describe one possible scenario. @smallwars @DocBunker @ZFTWARNING. smallwarsjournal.com/index.php/jrnl…
Mearsheimer has become an embarrassment to the American study of international relations. He is simply incorrect on multiple matters of fact and interpretation here.
"How else could we have fought the Nazis?" Prof. Mearsheimer: "Well, if you look at how the Soviets fought, who were basically responsible for defeating the Nazis... there were no bombings of cities, no dropping of nuclear weapons."
Broke down in Adré, Chad, on the border with Darfur. There is a great documentary to be made on mechanics in Africa. They are on another level
A sobering and essential assessment comparing the military strength of al-Shabaab and Somali government forces by Paul D. Williams in the new issue of CTC Sentinel.
April Sentinel analysis: “The Somali National Army Versus al-Shabaab: A Net Assessment” by Paul D. Williams ctc.westpoint.edu/the-somali-nat…
Operation Nimrod: The Iranian Embassy Siege #UK #Iran #OperationNimrod #Security #SpecialAirService #SpecialProjectsTeam Click on the link to find out more! greydynamics.com/operation-nimr…
“Almost reached Wetherspoons toilets”
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